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Tuesday, November 6,2018
All Gave Some~Some Gave All
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Want a Communist USA? Vote Democrat on Tuesday

Want a Communist USA? Vote Democrat on Tuesday

Severe Storms Brewing For Election Day, Threaten To Swing Tight Races

By Daily Caller

 

Michael Bastasch on November 5, 2018

  • Stormy weather and snowfall are expected to hit on Election Day that could depress turnout, which studies say could favor GOP candidates.

  • However, there’s a chance rain could actually hurt Republicans in some states.

  • A study found “weather may have contributed to two Electoral College outcomes, the 1960 and 2000 presidential elections.” John F. Kennedy, a Democrat, won the 1960 election, while Republican George W. Bush won in 2000.

 

Severe storms are brewing ahead of Election Day that could bring heavy rainfall across the eastern U.S., and possibly even “very large” tornadoes in the southeast, according to forecasters.

What’s got people talking is the prospect of stormy weather hitting states with tight gubernatorial and congressional races, including Indiana, Wisconsin and Iowa.

The National Weather Service (NWS) warned a “significant severe weather outbreak is forecast to intensify Monday night with potential for very large tornadoes EF-2 or greater possible” in the lower Ohio and Tennessee valleys.

Storms in the East and heavy snowfall in the Rockies is expected to start on Monday and intensify overnight, NWS said. The storm front will move east from the Midwest on Tuesday, NWS said, bringing rainfall and flood risks to parts of the eastern U.S.

“This front will continue to move east, with showers and storms moving from the Midwest into the eastern U.S. on Tuesday,” according to a NWS forecast issued Monday morning.

“[T]here is the potential for some storms to become strong to severe, with the Storm Prediction Center indicating a Slight Risk for severe weather for a portion of the Southeast northward into the Mid-Atlantic region” on Tuesday, NWS warned.

“Storms are expected to diminish across much of the East as the front moves offshore Tuesday evening,” according to NWS.

Forecasters began warning of severe weather on Election Day as early as November 2. Meteorologist Ryan Maue said models showed “[w]intry mix in the Midwest” and “[s]evere weather in the south.”

“Heavy rain, gusty winds will lead to difficult travel conditions,” Maue tweeted on Friday. “Serious weather problems here.”

The big question is whether or not stormy weather could impact tight races in places where severe rain is expected, including Tennessee and Indiana.

Indiana Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly, for example, is in a tight race against businessman Mike Braun, a Republican. Donnelly has a narrow 0.8 percent lead on Braun, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average.

Likewise, RealClearPolitics sees gubernatorial races in Iowa and Wisconsin as “toss-ups” with Republican and Democratic candidates nearly tied in the polling average. Rainfall  is likely across both states on election day, according to NWS.

Source: National Weather Service

Experts say severe weather, from rain storms to blizzards, can have an impact on voter turnout, potentially swinging close elections in some states. Some research shows that rainfall on Election Day benefits Republicans.

“There are people who, no matter what happens, they are going to vote. Those folks tend to be older, those folks tend to be more well educated and those folks tend to be whiter. Those folks also tend to be more Republican now,” Mike Binder, director of the Public Opinion Research Lab at the University of North Florida told Accuweather.

A 2007 study found that rain reduced voter participation in presidential elections a little less than one percent, and an inch of snow reduced turnout about one-half percent. The study found: “Poor weather is also shown to benefit the Republican party’s vote share.”

The 2007 study also said “weather may have contributed to two Electoral College outcomes, the 1960 and 2000 presidential elections.” John F. Kennedy, a Democrat, won the 1960 election, while Republican George W. Bush won in 2000.

However, the effect is highly localized, Binder said, and probably only makes a difference at the margins.

“However, in races where there is a great deal of enthusiasm for the Democratic party and where the Republican party might not be excited about their candidate, that’s an opportunity where it would not impact the Democrats, but it might impact the Republicans,” Binder said.


Dick Morris: Hillary Destroys Bill’s Legacy
By Dick Morris


Bill Clinton speaks on stage, while Hillary Clinton looks onJustin Sullivan / Getty ImagesFormer President Bill Clinton's legacy has been damaged not only by his own actions, but also by his wife's political ambitions. (Justin Sullivan / Getty Images)


Hillary Clinton has been toxic for Bill Clinton’s legacy.

Since he left the White House, his history has been one of sharply declining favorability ratings whenever she runs. Those ratings recover afterward, then decline when she runs again. And in 2017-18, the #MeToo movement has caused his ratings to drop even further.

The trends are dramatic and leave no room for doubt.

A legacy that once rested on the solid achievements of welfare reform, balancing the budget, covering children with health insurance, and family and medical leave now stands forever tarnished due to the effects of Hillary’s failed presidential candidacies and his own sexual misconduct.

Gallup’s ratings show that Bill Clinton left the White House with only a 39 percent approval rating. The reasons for such a low number were obvious: his plea to perjury in the Paula Jones deposition and his subsequent disbarment, Hillary’s decision to keep the china she and Bill got as gifts during his tenure, and his pardons at the end of his presidency in return for fees paid to members of his and her families.

From 2001 to 2007, Bill arduously rebuilt his image with an assist from President George W. Bush. Serving at Bush’s request as a goodwill ambassador to Haiti and the victims of the Asian tsunami, Clinton’s approval rating improved to 63 percent by 2007. His early work with the Clinton Foundation — yet to be exposed as the fraud it was — bolstered his ratings as well.

Then Hillary ran for the White House. By the end of 2008, Bill’s approval dropped to 47 percent, a decline of 16 points over the course of his wife’s campaign and her defeat for the Democratic presidential nomination by Barack Obama.

Bill caught a break when Obama appointed Hillary to be secretary of state. During her tenure, when Bill largely stayed out of the limelight, his approval rose all the way to 69 percent by 2013.

Then, Hillary left the Obama administration and began her second run for president. By the time she lost, Bill’s approval had dropped back to 50 percent amid charges of pay-for-play at the State Department, the exposure of his huge speaking fees, and the increasing evidence of corruption and bribery at the heart of the Clinton Foundation.

Since then, Bill’s image has been damaged further, this time through no fault of his wife. The #MeToo movement has cast an increasingly harsh light on his infamous affair with then 22-year-old Monica Lewinsky. By the end of 2017, his approval was down to 45 percent and likely has fallen further this year.

This chart summarizes the changes:

Bill Clinton’s Approval Ratings

Source: Gallup

2001: 39% (term ends)
2007: 63% (Hillary starts presidential campaign)
2008: 47% (Hillary loses bid for Democratic nomination)
2013: 69% (Hillary named Secretary of State)
2016: 50% (Hillary loses presidential election)
2017: 45% (#MeToo Movement)

Ironically, many people believe that Bill encouraged Hillary to run, believing that her election might wipe out the stain of his own impeachment and cast a more benign light on the disastrous second term of his presidency.

But the opposite happened. Her candidacy triggered a close inspection of the couple’s efforts to make money while she was out of office and the exchange of favors between donors to the Clinton Foundation and the State Department under her tenure.

The Clintons did not stand up well to the scrutiny. His ratings suffered and his legacy was tarnished.

Is the damage permanent? Who knows. His achievements are solid enough to merit better, but Hillary and his personal immorality keep getting in the way.

His current terrible poll ratings make it clear that he must now be considered as a very bad president. But history always takes a second look.

Today, Bill Clinton is a bit like the retired baseball player who, tarnished by his use of steroids, fails admission to the Hall of Fame and must wait for the Veterans Committee to reconsider his case in future years.


Kellyanne Conway Calls Hillary Clinton ‘Queen Of Abortion’

Kellyanne Conway, president and CEO of the Polling Company and the campaign manager of US President-elect Donald Trump's campaign, speaks during the 4th Annual Women Rule Summit in Washington, DC, December 7, 2016.SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images

By FRANK CAMP @FRANKDCAMP

 

On Sunday, White House counselor Kellyanne Conway appeared on "Fox & Friends" to talk about the midterm elections, which are just two days away.


During the segment, host Katie Pavlich brought up a piece from The New York Times in which the author suggests that women who voted for President Trump are afraid of losing the "world they largely know – Christian, conservative, and white."

Pavlich then stated: "So if you’re a woman supporting Trump, you’re a racist."

Conway replied:

That’s completely ridiculous, as you know. Women are – they put a lot into their voter consideration. They are not single issue voters; we're not single issue thinkers. We can do the math. We see the economy. In fact, the economy for women is the best it's been in decades, literally…

Women see that growth is above 4%; unemployment is below 4%. Best unemployment figures among women in 65 plus years. The deregulation has helped so many small business-owning women and aspiring small business-owning women to go ahead and form those businesses, to expand them, to hire – not to contract, but to expand. And women know, even beyond the economy, what this president has done in terms of law and order, and respecting our military, and our veterans; border security is national security.

Conway then spoke about Democratic candidates talking less frequently about abortion during this election cycle:

I've noticed also that the Democrats aren't talking much about abortion this time, and that's because they tried that for so long. They tried it with the "queen of abortion" in 2016 and it backfired for them because so many women said, "Excuse me, you gotta talk to me on all the issues."

So I think women in the suburbs – for all the talk about them "not liking tone," they know the difference between what offends them and what affects them, and what affects them is this booming economy, law and order, and respecting our military and veterans for the first time in years.

Here’s the video (pertinent portion begins at the 2:40 mark):

Regarding women’s unemployment, Conway is correct. In October, the unemployment rate among American women was 3.7%, which is just 0.1% above September’s rate.

The only other time women’s unemployment was consistently lower than it is today was in 1952 and 1953, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). There was a brief flirtation with figures that low in the late-1990s, but 2018’s numbers are still consistently lower.

While it may be hyperbolic to refer to Hillary Clinton as the "queen of abortion," the former senator’s record as a champion for abortion rights is clear.

In January 2016, Clinton stated:

First of all, I will always defend Planned Parenthood, and I will say consistently and proudly, Planned Parenthood should be funded, supported, and appreciated, not undermined, misrepresented, and demonized. I believe we need to protect access to safe and legal abortion, not just in principle, but in practice.

Perhaps the most prominent example of Clinton’s ardent support for abortion came in 2003 when she voted with 32 other senators against the "Partial-Birth Abortion Ban Act," which prohibits doctors from performing "intact dilation and extraction" procedures. The bill passed 64-33.


As The Daily Wire previously reported: "An intact dilation and extraction is a procedure in which an infant, approximately 18-weeks gestation or older, is almost entirely extracted from the mother in breech position, leaving its head inside the uterus. The doctor then makes an incision in the base of the infant's skull, and uses a suction cannula to remove its brain, thus collapsing the head. Prior to the procedure, the doctor administers digoxin via a needle into the infant's head or heart in order to induce cardiac arrest and death."

 



Pope Francis took on Trump over the caravan and it ended with one shocking outcome

Pope Francis is a huge supporter of open borders and mass migration.
That led him into conflict with Donald Trump.

But he took on Trump over the migrant caravan and it could backfire in one major way.

Pope Francis praised the migrant caravan in recent comments.

He claimed Europe was built by migrants.

Breitbart reports:

“Europe was not just born like that,” the pope told a delegation of Scalabrini missionaries in off-the-cuff remarks in the Vatican Monday. “Europe was made by many waves of migrants over the centuries.”

Using the example of the “caravan traveling from Honduras to the United States,” Francis said that migrants prefer to stick together, to move as a group rather than to go it alone like “free agents.” In this way, migrants form their own “communities.”

“I am the son of migrants,” the pope said, “and I remember in the post-war period — I was a boy of 10 or 12 years — when, where my father worked, Poles began to arrive to work, all migrants, and I remember how well they were received.”

“Argentina has this experience of welcoming, because there was work and it was also needed,” he said. “And Argentina — from my experience — is a cocktail of migratory waves.”

Many observers saw this as a direct rebuke of Donald Trump.

Pope Francis tried this once before.

Days before the South Carolina primary, he attacked Trump saying he’s not a Christian for supporting a border wall.

But many pundits believe Francis’ support for mass migration and attack on Trump helped Trump win that crucial primary.

Will Francis interfering in America’s election galvanize Trump’s base once again?

Immigration is a winning issue for Trump. Anything that drives the conversation toward the border and cracking down on illegal immigration helps Trump and the GOP.


Border Patrol Revealed A New Force Who Will Try To Stop The Caravan
Border Patrol

The crisis on the southern border is reaching a critical mass.
There are thousands of illegal migrants caravanning across Mexico, ready to cross the border into the U.S.
And border patrol just revealed a new force that will try to stop them.

The Border Crisis Expands With The Caravan

There is a massive caravan of illegal migrants on their way to the U.S. border.
It may be the biggest threat to the U.S. border in history.
That’s why President Trump is sending thousands of U.S. troops to help defend it.
Defense Secretary James Mattis already has them on the move.
But it may not simply be U.S. troops helping in that effort.
A new force could be on their way to help, whether they are welcomed or not.
A New Force Arrives To Help Stop The Caravan
Militia groups regularly patrol the U.S. border.
They seek out illegal immigrants, and in most cases contact border patrol to report them.

Because they show up heavily armed, many see them as a danger.
But the reality is that the border is a dangerous place.

There are massive amounts of drug cartel activity on the border.

And you can be sure that the cartels are armed and ready to fight anybody who tries to stop them.

So the militia shows up prepared to defend themselves if need be.

And border patrol is claiming that militia groups will likely be on the border when the caravan arrives.

They will likely try to work alongside U.S. troops and border patrol.
But if not, they will simply be another set of eyes on the border.

Border patrol’s message went out to landowners on the border.

Those landowners are being informed so they know to keep a look out for them and anybody else who may enter on their property.
The other group border patrol made them aware of is the media.
They are likely to be on the border to cover the caravan as it arrives.

Trump Is Stopping The Caravan

The reality is that things could get ugly on the border in the coming weeks.
As the caravan arrives they will likely try to cross into the U.S.
And President Trump has made it clear they will not be allowing them to enter.

So U.S. troops and border patrol have the job of keeping them out.
That will likely result in mass arrest or even force if the caravan gets violent.

Because as it stands, there is little keeping them from crossing the border.

Trump is trying to build a wall on the border, but until then, there isn’t much there.

Fencing on the border isn’t going to stop a caravan of thousands of people.

And much of the border doesn’t even have fencing at all.

A wall would fix the problem.



The Democrat Party Is Finished After One Poll Dropped
Claire McCaskill

Democrats are having a hard time in the upcoming midterms.
With the economy booming, they are losing support fast.
And one new poll proves they are done for.

The Democrat’s Entire Plan Is Falling Apart

Going into 2018, Democrats had a lot of optimism.
They were convinced that President Trump was going down.
He is the opposite of everything they believe in.
But as it turns out, the economy is booming under Trump.
At the start of the year, his historic tax cuts went into effect.
Then a series of trade deals went through.
All of this is causing the economy to improve significantly.
Unemployment is at historic lows.
And economic growth is at levels nobody expected.
All of that is causing President Trump’s approval ratings to climb.
And when his approval numbers go up, so do the polling numbers for Republicans running in the upcoming midterms.
Because after all, Trump is the biggest factor for voters.
The biggest losers at this time are Democrats in red states.
And one Democrat, in particular, is hurting badly.

A Missouri Democrat Losing Hope
Sen. Claire McCaskill is in an interesting situation.

She is firmly on the left, while voters in her state of Missouri are on the right.
Her entire campaign strategy is to paint herself as a moderate Democrat.
It’s how she won the first time and survived re-election.
But now she is facing a crisis as voters are realizing she is more liberal than she let on.
A new poll shows her challenger, Republican Josh Hawley, in the lead.
While it’s only by one point, it’s higher than previous polls.
And it comes at a time when McCaskill is already facing major problems.
The first is her vote on the confirmation of Justice Brett Kavanaugh.
She publicly opposed him and voted “no” on his confirmation.
This angered many in the state of Missouri who saw the allegations
against him as a political hit job.
Along with her problems with Kavanaugh, she is facing criticism due to her opposition to President Trump.
Voters in Missouri support Trump, while McCaskill opposes him and voted
for Hillary Clinton.

And to top it all off, a secretly recorded video proves once-and-for-all that
she is purposely deceiving voters.

Project Veritas Proves She’s A Liberal Democrat

Project Veritas, which is known for secretly recording government officials to uncover their secrets, went after McCaskill.
A new report shows McCaskill and her staffers admitting she is much farther left than her campaign message.

McCaskill openly admitted that she supports radical gun control, including gun bans.

That is one thing voters in Missouri are staunchly opposed to.

Staffers also admitted receiving strong support from former President Obama.
But that support wasn’t made public, as it would have hurt her in the polls.
Project Veritas uncovered the real McCaskill and her views are not well-liked by voters in the state.
Do you think voters in Missouri will reject Claire McCaskill?



Voters Weigh In Loud and Clear on Trump’s Use of Troops To Stop Caravan

Salvadoran migrants heading in a caravan to the United States cross the Suchiate River to Guatemala into Mexico on Friday. PMarvin Recinos / AFP / Getty Images Salvadoran migrants heading in a caravan to the United States cross the Suchiate River from Guatemala into Mexico on Friday. President Donald Trump has vowed that the U.S. military will prevent caravans of migrants from entering the United States illegally, and a clear majority of Americans polled agree with him. (Marvin Recinos / AFP / Getty Images)
If you’ve been watching the media’s coverage of the migrant caravans, you’d be forgiven for thinking that the average American would be wildly against sending troops to the border to stop these aspiring illegal immigrants from creating some sort of ruckus.
Oh, except you’re not really supposed to call them illegal immigrants.
“Migrants,” really. Or “refugees,” fleeing from a life of deprivation in Honduras — a deprivation so great they can’t even seek asylum in neighboring countries like Mexico or Guatemala, they have to come here.
The point is that nobody with a heart would encourage using American troops to enforce border laws and if you’re for something like that, you’re obviously heartless.
That was the accepted party line in the mainstream media. And then someone went and did a poll and screwed it all up.
According to a survey released by Zogby on Friday, a clear 57 percent of likely voters think that sending troops to the border to stop the caravan is a good idea.
That would be enough of a surprise by itself, but here’s another kicker: Over half of Hispanics also agree with the plan.
President Trump has thus far proposed up to 15,000 troops to secure the southern border. The first wave is arriving to reinforce the international bridge in Hidalgo, Texas, according to NBC News.
“We’ll go up to anywhere between 10,000 and 15,000 military personnel on top of border patrol, ICE, and everybody else at the border. Nobody’s coming in,” the president told reporters.
So, what do Americans think of this?
“A new Zogby Analytics nationwide survey of 866 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/-3.3%, conducted 10/30/18-10/31/18, shows a majority (57%) of Americans support the military’s decision to send thousands of troops to the border to prevent a migrant caravan, numbered in the thousands, from entering the U.S. illegally. More than two in five disagree with the military deployment to the border,” Zogby reported.
“Among political parties, Democrats were most likely to disagree (69%), but 31% of Democrats did agree with sending troops to the U.S. – Mexico border,” the survey noted.
“Republicans overwhelmingly support (91%) sending the military to the border. Independents were also in support of sending the military (53%), while 47% disagreed. Men were much more supportive–43% strongly agreed, and 66% agreed overall (strongly and somewhat agree combined). Women were split 50/50 on the deployment of troops.”
But here was the kicker, at least for people hoping identity politics would carry the day.
“Ethnicity was another area where there was more agreement than expected. A majority of African-Americans disagree (59%) compared to 41% who agree,” Zogby noted.
“Interestingly, 51% of Hispanic respondents agree with the deployment of troops to the border to halt the migrant caravan; slightly less than half (49%) disagree. Also, 30% of Hispanics strongly agree compared to 28% who strongly disagree.
“It must also be noted that the sample of Hispanic respondents carries a larger margin of error (+/-10%), but nonetheless, the numbers do represent a significant finding.”
The poll also found that support was fairly even across geographic regions:
“Majorities of voters in the east, south, and central regions (56-62% agree/38-44% disagree) supported the deployment of troops. The only region where there was a majority who disagreed was in the west (51% disagree/49% agree).”
The poll did note that younger voters tended to disagree with the decision to send troops while older voters agreed with it. In that regard, however, I’m reminded of that Winston Churchill quote about being young and conservative or old and liberal
Either way, the Zogby survey is proof yet again that the media narrative on what America thinks regarding illegal immigration simply doesn’t match up with the facts.
Americans want our border laws enforced; that’s why the laws are there in the first place. We’ve seen this over and over again with issues like the border wall and amnesty. When will the media finally admit that their take on the issue doesn’t line up with reality?
G’ day…Ciao…
Helen and Moe Lauzier


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